Sitemap - 2023 - The GRYNING Times

Merry Christmas

Portfolio 22 Dec'23

Portfolio 21 Dec'23

Is Fed Policy 40 bps Tighter?

Portfolio 20 Dec'23

Turning Points

Portfolio 19 Dec'23

Should the BoJ end Negative Rates?

Portfolio 18 Dec'23

2024 Model Portfolio

Portfolio 15 Dec'23

Mortgages Rates Falling to High 5%?

Portfolio 14 Dec'23

No More Resistance?

Portfolio 13 Dec'23

Will the Fed Project a 1.8% Real Rate?

Portfolio 12 Dec'23

Can CPI Breach 3%?

Alpha Signal Analysis 11/12/23

Portfolio 11 Dec'23

Broad Market | Alpha Signal Analysis

Portfolio 08 Dec'23

Is Shrinking Money Supply Deflationary?

Portfolio 07 Dec'23

Its Jobs Week - Can Wages Go Higher?

Portfolio 06 Dec'23

Tripling Down on Climate

Portfolio 05 Dec'23

Fed's New Financial Conditions Index

Portfolio 04 Dec'23

AI Score Summary & Trade Idea's

European Equity Chartbook

Portfolio 01 Dec'23

Big Tech Topping?

Portfolio 30 Nov'23

Open AI - The Speed of Change

Portfolio 29 Nov'23

Do We Get A Stronger Yuan?

Portfolio 28 Nov'23

Earnings Season As Expected

AI Trade Ideas

Portfolio 27 Nov'23

Double Membership

Portfolio 22 Nov'23

Nvidia Is World Building

Portfolio 21 Nov'23

E D G E

Nvidia

Portfolio 20 Nov'23

Daily AI Leaderboards

Gryning | AI

Portfolio 17 Nov'23

Walmart - Target Analogue

Portfolio 16 Nov'23

$NVDA up next

Portfolio 15 Nov'23

A Regime Shift?

Portfolio 14 Nov'23

Inflation Expectations

Portfolio 13 Nov'23

Broad Market Alpha Breakdown

Portfolio 10 Nov'23

Some Foot Pressure on the Economic Brake

Portfolio 09 Nov'23

Midterm Analogue Played Out

Portfolio 08 Nov'23

Portfolio 08 Nov'23

Tighter

Portfolio 07 Nov'23

Recalibrating the "Growth Potential"

Broad Market (50 Ticker) Alpha Signal Breakdown

Portfolio 06 Nov'23

Portfolio 03 Nov'23

Productivity Outpacing Wages

Portfolio 02 Nov'23

Bullish Signs: "Potential" Growth > "Trend" Growth

Bonds: An Alpha Signal Breakdown Chartbook

Portfolio 01 Nov'23

Portfolio 31 Oct'23

Buying Bonds?

Portfolio 30 Oct'23

Safe Haven: Treasuries - No, Gold - Yes

Portfolio 27 Oct'23

Hot Economy - Expanding Margins & Higher Growth.

Portfolio 26 Oct'23

An Even Faster Sprint

Portfolio 25 Oct'23

Bond Speculators

Portfolio 24 Oct'23

Buy Bonds... ETF Version

Portfolio 23 Oct'23

Got Gold? A Technical Analysis

Portfolio 20 Oct'23

De-Invert

Portfolio 19 Oct'23

Got Gold?

Portfolio 18 Oct'23

Gold Rises. Fed Cuts?

Portfolio 17 Oct'23

Buy Bonds?

Portfolio 16 Oct'23

Will History Rhyme?

Portfolio 13 Oct'23

Q3'23 Earnings Season

Portfolio 13 Oct'23

Headline vs Core

Portfolio 11 Oct'23

Extraordinary Measures -> Yield Curve Control

Portfolio 10 Oct'23

Dividing Lines

Portfolio 09 Oct'23

Portfolio 06 Oct'23

Oil

Portfolio 05 Oct'23

A Big Q4?

Portfolio 04 Oct'23

JOLTS & Japan

Portfolio 03 Oct'23

Yields Rising, Stress Rising, Chances of Intervention Ris...

Portfolio 02 Oct'23

Portfolio 29 Sep'23

What do "Transitory" and "Higher for Longer" have in common?

Portfolio 28 Sep'23

USDJPY 150 Level

Portfolio 27 Sep'23

Feeling Familiar

Portfolio 26 Sep'23

Little Risk to Raise

Portfolio 25 Sep'23

Patiently Continue with Easing

GRYNING | CAPITAL

Portfolio 22 Sep'23

Trendlines Breaking

Portfolio 21 Sep'23

As Expected

Portfolio 20 Sep'23

A Pause

Portfolio 19 Sep'23

U.S. Treasury Futures . . . A Contrarian Play

Portfolio 18 Sep'23

Portfolio 15 Sep'23

S&P500 another 7-8% Higher?

Portfolio 14 Sep'23

Something Around 4%

Portfolio 13 Sep'23

Consumers Strapped, Government Money Flowing

Broad Market Observations

Portfolio 12Sep'23

Money Supply to Normalise?

Portfolio 11Sep'23

Inflation - Looking Ahead

Portfolio 08Sep'23

Fighting Inflation Perceptions

Portfolio 07Sep'23

Energy Inflation

Portfolio 06Sep'23

Cool Enough?

Portfolio 05Sep'23

Portfolio 01Sep'23

NFP

GRYNING | AI Alpha Breakdown

Portfolio 31Aug'23

Insurance Built In

Portfolio 30Aug'23

Quits Dip

Portfolio 29Aug'23

And The Beat Goes On . . .

Portfolio 28Aug'23

Robust Policymaking

Portfolio 25Aug'23

Productivity Catching Wages

Portfolio 24Aug'23

Did the ECB Intervene before Nvidia beat Bigly?

Portfolio 23Aug'23

$NVDA's Huge Promise

Portfolio 22Aug'23

Nvidia

Portfolio 21Aug'23

Keeping Control

Portfolio 18Aug'23

Dominos

Portfolio 17Aug'23

Far Less Hawkish

Portfolio 16Aug'23

The Script Plays Out

Portfolio 15Aug'23

Look Ahead - Japanese Inflation

Portfolio 14Aug'23

Moody's Downgrade Alpha Break Down

Moody's Downgrade Chartbook

Portfolio 11Aug'23

Inflation at Fed's Target

Portfolio 10Aug'23

Inflation - Will we break the streak?

Portfolio 09Aug'23

Downgrades & Steady Rates

Portfolio 08Aug'23

Shallow Dips

Portfolio 07Aug'23

Portfolio 04Aug'23

$AMZN and its Big Beat

Portfolio 03Aug'23

BOJ's changed Triggers

Fitch Downgrades US Credit Rating . . . and why thats Bullish!

Portfolio 01Aug'23

Bears Squeezed

Portfolio 31Jul'23

Portfolio 28Jul'23

Portfolio 27Jul'23

Eleven Central Bankers in Unison

Portfolio 25Jul'23

ECB, BOE, BOJ and a bunch of Wide Moats

Portfolio 24Jul'23

Commodities; Oil & Copper

Portfolio 21Jul'23

Towards BOJ

Portfolio 20Jul'23

"Roaring 20's" or "Too Far, Too Fast"

Portfolio 19Jul'23

Equity Markets on the Rise

Portfolio 18Jul'23

Has trouble been brewing?

Portfolio 17Jul'23

$JPM Setting the Tone

Are You Waiting For The Best Stocks To Magically Appear?

Portfolio 14Jul'23

Chase via Laggards

Portfolio 13Jul'23

Aggressive Catch Ups

Portfolio 12Jul'23

Insiders Bullish?

Portfolio 11Jul'23

A (potential) Positive Catalyst

Portfolio 10Jul'23

Tide Going Out, Base Effects coming In

What About Financial Freedom?

Portfolio 07Jul'23

US10Yr at 4.029% - Things Tend To Break

Portfolio 06Jul'23

Upside

Portfolio 05Jul'23

Portfolio 29Jun'23

Portfolio 29Jun'23

Ultra-Easy Monetary Policy

Portfolio 28Jun'23

Consumer Confidence Grows

Portfolio 27Jun'23

Room to the Upside

Mon 26Jun'23

AI-Thoughts

Portfolio 23Jun'23

BOE went Bigger, GB10Y went Lower!

Portfolio 22Jun'23

Capitol Hill Vibes

Portfolio 21Jun'23

A Stable Housing Environment

Portfolio 20Jun'23

Inverted Yield Curves - A Sign of Stability?

AI-Portfolio

Portfolio 16Jun'23

CB Market Manipulation

Portfolio 15Jun'23

Unanimity

Portfolio 14Jun'23

Skip - Stop - Stop & Reverse

13 June 23

13 June 23

Base + Skip = Lift Off

12 June'23

GP | 12Jun23

The GRYNING Times 2.0

AI Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

1995?

Gryning Portfolio

Risk Removal

Gryning Portfolio

Digital & Physical

Gryning Portfolio

Nvidia

Gryning Portfolio

Equity Boost

Gryning Portfolio

Will Jobs Cement a Pause

Gryning Portfolio

"skip"

Gryning Portfolio

Stocks Repricing . . .

Gryning Portfolio

Building Enthusiasm

Gryning Portfolio

Productivity Growth

Gryning Portfolio

$NVDA "roaring 20's"

Gryning Portfolio

AI Profit Taking?

Gryning Portfolio

"China's Economic Coercion" - G7

Gryning Portfolio

Risk & Correlation Metrics

Single Stock Leaders

Gryning Portfolio

Stocks Breaking Out

Gryning Portfolio

1266 Points

Gryning Portfolio

Coordinate, Collaborate, Contingency.

Gryning Portfolio

No Fear

Gryning Portfolio

Debt Ceiling Context

GRYNING | AI

Gryning Portfolio

Leading on the way Down.

Gryning Portfolio

CPI Base Effects

Gryning Portfolio

Debt Ceiling - Capital Flight

Gryning Portfolio

Debt Ceiling / Policy Path

Gryning Portfolio

Guardrails Removed

Global Points of Interest Chartbook

Gryning Portfolio

Probably a Dip to Buy

Gryning Portfolio

Manipulate and Fix - PacWest next?

Gryning Portfolio

Regional Banks: Evidence vs Narrative

Gryning Portfolio

Interest Rates, Stress & Intervention.

Gryning Portfolio

Stocks are Hot

Eclectic News in Charts

Gryning Portfolio

Towards Core PCE

Gryning Portfolio

From Downward Revisions to Positive Suprise.

Gryning Portfolio

Banking System Fears

Gryning Portfolio

Contrarian Indicators

Gryning Portfolio

A Bull Market to Emerge?

Single Stock Rankings

Gryning Portfolio

Perhaps the Economy is Better...

Gryning Portfolio

UK Inflation & Base Effects

Gryning Portfolio

Will the Fed buy Mortgages?

Gryning Portfolio

Is the tightening cycle over?

Gryning Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

GRYNING | AI

Gryning Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

Quantitative Idea's

A Soft Jobs Report?

Crypto Based Monthly Market Update

Gryning Portfolio

Dollar Bear Cycle

Gryning Portfolio

Dollar Decline, Treasuries Demand

Gryning Portfolio

Oil - Who would have thunk it?

Gryning Portfolio

Could S&P500 gain 12% in 12 months?

Gryning Portfolio

Fed Restarts QE?

Gryning Portfolio

Dollar Fuelling Commodities

Gryning Portfolio

PetroYuan and A Weaker Dollar

Gryning Portfolio

Stability Restored. Next up, Confidence . . .

Gryning Portfolio

Treasury Intervention

Gryning Portfolio

Petrodollar decline?

Gryning Portfolio

Expanding of the Fed balance sheet is not QE.

Gryning Portfolio

Fed: Inflation - Done. Credit Crunch - ?

Gryning Portfolio

"Enhancement in Currency Swap Lines"

Gryning Portfolio

Eclectic News

The GRYNING | Essays: Boom!

Gryning Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

The Fed is back in the business

Gryning Portfolio

"Insurance Hikes" No Longer Needed

Gryning Portfolio

Moral Hazard, QE & Intervention with a Bow.

Gryning Portfolio

No Uncertainty & Whatever it Takes

Gryning Portfolio

"No Rules" Central Banking

2023 Model Portfolio

Eclectic News

Gryning Portfolio

US 10 Yr - Manipulation, Intervention & Crisis Aversion

Gryning Portfolio

Perceived Interest Rate Shock

Gryning Portfolio

Stocks Down, Yields Little Changed

Gryning Portfolio

Global Supply Chain Normalised

Gryning Portfolio

Eclectic News

Gryning Portfolio | Monthly Update

Gryning Portfolio

Bullish Engulfing Candle & 2’s/10’s Flattening

Gryning Portfolio

U.S. manufacturing data . . . with context

Gryning Portfolio

Student Debt

Gryning Portfolio

Should it be a $26 Trillion Economy?

Gryning Portfolio

Debt Inflated Away

Eclectic News

Gryning Portfolio

Markets Skewed to the Upside

Gryning Portfolio

Forward Guidance & Economic Lags

Gryning Portfolio

Pricing OUT Recession

Gryning Portfolio

S&P500 Keeps on Trucking

Broad Market Overview

Risk & Volatility

Gryning Portfolio

If the Bond Market were that "Smart".

Gryning Portfolio

It's A Not A Sputtering Economy.

Gryning Portfolio

Is the Inflation fight over?

Gryning Portfolio

Inflation Base Effects

Gryning Portfolio

Triple Digit Oil

Gryning Portfolio

Oil Tailwinds

Gryning Portfolio

Biden's Case for Oil & Gas

Gryning Portfolio

Powell's Game Plan

Gryning Portfolio

Growth Solves Problems

Gryning Portfolio

Earnings' Story

Eclectice News

2023 Model Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

Bond Market Signs

Gryning Portfolio

All Things Powell

Gryning Portfolio

Rate Decisions followed by . . .

Gryning Portfolio

Fundamentals for Consumption

Gryning Portfolio

Interest Rates ABOVE Rate of Inflation.

Eclectic News

Gryning Portfolio

Fed's Phase II

Gryning Portfolio

Risk On Appetite

Gryning Portfolio

Earnings Overview

Gryning Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

Upward Momentum

Gryning Portfolio

COT & Correlations

Trendlines broken & held.

Eclectic News

Gryning Portfolio

Wall of Worry

Gryning Portfolio

BOJ's (Koruda's) Fight

Gryning Portfolio

BOJ Holds Policy

Gryning Portfolio

Gold via JGB's

COT & Correlations

The Gryning Essays | HIR

Eclectic News

Gryning Portfolio

Earning's Season Kick Off

Gryning Portfolio

The Courage of Bulls

Gryning Portfolio

Upside to come...

Gryning Portfolio

Is $SPX coiling before Thursday?

Bond Market Signs

Gryning Portfolio

Bond Market Signs

Gryning Portfolio

Value with a Catalyst

Gryning Portfolio

Negative Expectations and Positive Surprises.

Broad Market Dashboard

Gryning Portfolio

Gryning Portfolio

State of Play