Quantitative Investment Strategies
Bearish. Bullish. But Also Indifferent.
Man is not worried by real problems so much as by his imagined anxieties about real problems —Epictetus
As humans, we’re wired to crave certainty.
It’s comforting to think we can predict what’s coming next — in life, in markets, and in the broader world.
This desire for certainty isn’t just a quirk; it’s rooted in cognitive biases that shape how we interpret the world. Recency bias tempts us to overemphasise recent events, assuming today’s trends will continue indefinitely. Overconfidence convinces us we know more than we do, emboldening us to make predictions we can’t possibly guarantee. And confirmation bias leads us to seek out information that aligns with what we already believe, reinforcing flawed assumptions.
These biases don’t just influence individuals. They shape market sentiment, often leading to predictions that seem logical in the moment but unravel with time.
At The GRYNING Times, we aim to sidestep these traps by trading the allure of certainty for the discipline of a systematic approach. Instead of speculating about what SHOULD happen, we focus on following what IS happening, using trends to guide us through uncertainty.
Here’s a summary of how we build our 4 quantitative investment portfolios by thoughtfully combining institutional investment techniques to modernise the classic balanced portfolio.
